Nobody gets there. But you can try. Forecast against friends and strangers on sports, world politics, and even your personal life.
| Your forecast | Did it happen? | Penalty |
|---|---|---|
| 100% | Yes | 0.000(1.00 − 1)² |
| 50% | Yes | 0.250(0.50 − 1)² |
| 90% | No | 0.810(0.90 − 0)² |
| 100% | No | 1.000(1.00 − 0)² |
Penalty = (forecast − outcome)² · yes = 1, no = 0
You called it?
Not unless you recorded it on Haruspex.
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